Catch 22 News release: April 29 2011
If polling firm Angus Reid has it right, tens of thousands of
Canadians unhappy with five years of Stephen Harper government will
go to the polls on Monday to vote against the Conservatives.
“More than a third of Canadians – 37 per cent – are considering
voting strategically in order to reduce the chances of a specific
party forming the government, even if it means casting a ballot for
a candidate they dislike,” said the pollster.
“More than half of Liberals – 53 per cent – and more than
two-in-five NDP supporters – 43 per cent – are thinking of this
option on election day.”
Catch 22 Harper
Conservatives and other similar groups have been working full
out since the election was called on March 26, asking people to
Political scientist Alvin Finkel believes that strategic voting can
help defeat Harper. “Strategic voting remains necessary to
determine who can keep the Tories from winning in key ridings, and
so the Catch 22 choices remain crucial to insuring that we do not
wake up on May 3 to a majority Tory government”, said Finkel, from
the Centre for State and Legal Studies at Athabaska University in
The climb of the NDP in the polls is remarkable, with much of the
gain due to the collapse of the Bloc in Quebec and Jack Layton’s
strong performances in both televised debates. Friday’s Nanos
Research survey had the NDP at 31.2 per cent – only five points
behind the Conservatives at 36.4.
If the trend holds, the NDP will finish in second place, well ahead
of the Liberals.
However, Catch 22 strategist Nick Fillmore says “voters must keep
their eye on the prize on Monday and not lose sight of doing what
it takes to make sure that Harper does not win a majority.” If
anyone needs a reminder of how far Harper is off the mark when it
comes to the interests of the majority of Canadians, have a look at
With only two campaigning days left, Harper’s Conservatives are
dangerously close to a majority government should opposition
parties split the vote in too many ridings.
Alvin Finkel has a warning: “While I am as excited as anyone about
the NDP surge, it is clear from the polls that the chances of
Canadians electing a majority of Harper Conservatives with about 38
percent of the vote remain high.
“If Harper has a majority, it won't matter much which party forms
the official opposition. We'll see a rightward shift in Canadian
federal policy of the kind that Britain experienced under Margaret
Thatcher and from which it has never recovered, regardless of which
party has formed government.”
The greatest danger is that, if the NDP gains votes at the expense
of the Liberals, the two parties will end up seriously splitting
the vote in a number of ridings. This would allow the Conservatives
to take advantage of the weakness in Canada’s outdated electoral
system and sneak up the middle and win seats.
Therefore, voters in Catch 22 target ridings need to go out and
support the Liberals in ridings where Catch 22 is recommending that
Liberals have the best chance of defeating Conservatives.
Here are 16 key ridings where we recommend that voters support the
Oak Ridges Markham
During the last few days, Catch 22 has stepped up its campaign by
phoning tens of thousands of voters in key ridings across the
country. They have also proposed that Saturday, April 30 be
designated as “Heave Steve Day
” and is encouraging local activity in
all of its recommended ridings.
On Friday, Catch 22 changed the designation of one riding,
Beauport–Limoilou in Quebec, from a Bloc recommendation to “too
close to call”. This decision was based on the NDP surge in the
Quebec City region.
Catch 22 Toll Free Media Line: 1-855-228-2488