Catch 22 Recommendation: Stephen Chase (Liberal)

Member of Parliament: Rodney Weston (Conservative) One term in office

Group: Saint John

Nominees for upcoming election:

• Stephen Chase (Liberal)
• Rob Moir (NDP)
• Sharon Murphy-Flatt (Green) 
• 
  

Winnability:

• Rodney Weston won by 497 votes in 2008.  Less than 3 votes per poll
• This riding had gone Liberal in the previous 2 elections
• The Conservative share of the vote actually dropped in 2008, but the Liberal share dropped enough (4.8%) to give Weston the seat.
• Riding includes the University of New Brunswick

• Population 82,078
• Family income (avg): $70,184
• Unemployment rate: 8.3%

• Margin of victory: 1.43% / 497 votes
• Voters registered: 64,868
• Voter turnout: 54.0% (61.4% in 2006; 55.0% in 2004)

2008 General Election Poll Results:
Legend
Conservative
Liberal
NDP
Bloc
Green
Click image to view 2008 results, poll by poll, in Google Earth (courtesy Cédric Sam)

News:

• MP Won’t Back Down on Pledge to Remove Tolls – Telegraph Journal

• CBC: Canada Votes 2008
• Elections Canada: Voter Information Service; Electoral Map
• Parliament of Canada: Constituency Profile; Parliamentarian File
• Wikipedia: Saint John