There is no chance that the NDP will win in Pontiac

For those who wish to see a Cannon victory, please continue to push for people to vote for the NDP in this riding. That is the best strategy to ensure a Conservative majority government. When I joined this group at its formation point a year or so ago, I was hoping that people would support the second-place Liberal party and that our Catch 22 membership would escalate, the word would get out and all those who are against Harper would vote en masse rather than splitting the vote and facilitating a Conservative victory. For some reason (partisanship? wishful thinking? irrational urges? infiltration by Conbot operatives?) some people are vigorously recommending that we all vote NDP; that somehow - even though there are less than three dozen people from Pontiac involved on this site, this will result in the NDP winning Pontiac. This is a wrong-headed notion based on an unsubstantiated assumption that suddenly people in Pontiac are going to change their life-long loyalties and realize that they now support the NDP. As a largely rural, elderly riding, Pontiac is stable in its voting patterns, and a handful of people on one of many strategic voting sites are realistically going to have marginal influence on the riding as a whole. This riding goes either Liberal or Conservative and to suggest voting for any other than these two parties will only further split the vote. If that's what you want to do, go for it, but I am trying to unseat Cannon, so I will be voting Liberal. Best wishes everyone!

Replies to This Discussion

Permalink Reply by Gretchen Schwarz on April 25, 2011 at 1:32pm

http://pushedleft.blogspot.com/2011/04/harper-majority-and-supreme-...

The margin of error of Nanos polls range from 5.7 to 10.3, meaning they could be off by as much as 11.4 to 20.6. They are intentionally distorting the numbers to confuse strategic voters.

Permalink Reply by Gretchen Schwarz on April 28, 2011 at 5:23pm

If we want to unseat Cannon - if that is our goal, then we will vote Liberal.

If we want to assess the candidates and choose the most qualified one (in our opinion) or if we are looking for some rationale that will allow us to vote NDP because we LIKE the NDP best, then we are going to split the vote and Cannon will win.

As I have said repeatedly, I know this riding and I know that the overwhelming majority of people are not actively engaged in politics. They vote but they do not assess the candidates as to their qualifications, intelligence, grace under pressure, knowledge of broader issues, and the like. They vote for a party. That's it; that's all.

This riding has gone Liberal for 56 out of the past 75 years or 75% of the time, and Conservative for 19 years. It is not a Conservative stronghold by any means. The Liberals have well organized riding associations throughout the riding.

Just because you like the NDP and find it uplifting that there is a rise in support in Quebec does not mean that it will win in Pontiac, especially with an unknown, former Communist Party candidate who has been ridiculed in the press. Much of Pontiac has disdain for Quebec and will not respond to the NDP surge.

Although I like the NDP, I even ran for MP in the 2004 election as an NDP candidate, my main goal is to try to unseat Cannon. If everyone who voted NDP would vote Liberal, it would be done and Cannon would be sent packing.

It's so frustrating that people want to vote NDP when it will only contribute to another Conservative MP to potential nightmare scenario of a Conservative majority!

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