Comment

Comment by Jared Gordon on April 19, 2011 at 6:31pm

I know I've been plugging for Lillian in the past, I have to say I'm going with my gut on this one, and will be voting for the NDP.

Comment by Celine Trojand on April 12, 2011 at 11:17pm

Hi team!

I think that Randall Garrison is the strategic choice and here's why:

1. Last time randall and troy faced off Randall won by over 3000 votes. He's proven that he can run the machine and run it well.

 

2. Keith Martin won votes from all three major parties - People came out to vote for him, regardless of what party banner he was running under. So if you look back to BEFORE Keith, this is an NDP / conservative (or progressive conservative as it was) riding. The displaced voters will probably revert to ideology if they no longer have a personality like Keith to stand behind.

 

3. Lilian has less name recognition outside of the western communities. Randall has a strong voice in the urban centers where the larger population is.

 

4. Conservation Voters of BC have endorsed Randall Garrison as an environmental champion. They will be working in the riding.

 

Those are my four sense.

Comment by Tia Leschke on April 11, 2011 at 10:12pm

I really hope people can set aside their personal preferences in making this choice. My heart is NDP (really Green, but ...) but I'll vote Liberal if it will stop the con candidate from winning. That's really what this is all about, isn't it?

Comment by Wendy Perry on April 11, 2011 at 7:31pm

I disagree that Randall is the front runner ,as well.I support Lillian  from every thing I have read and heard ,she has the edge in our riding.The town hall, all candidate debates are starting.Will be a good chance to see the response each candidate gets.

Comment by Wendy Perry on April 9, 2011 at 9:47pm

Just heard Michael Ignatieff will be in our riding for a town hall rally on April 17th.

Comment by Tia Leschke on April 9, 2011 at 8:15pm

I'd rather see the endorsement happen after the debates and watching what the polls do then.

Comment by Dan F on April 9, 2011 at 8:05pm

Based on 308.com, its going to be a Lib seat by about 20 points over the NDP candidate. Even with that overwhelming gap, If you're still not sure, I recommend waiting until after the debates before making the call here. Depending on which way the polls start moving in BC a few days after the debates, I'd be prepared to make a call on this seat at that time.

(308.com bases its numbers on a mathematical formula combining polls and past results; they will be within 5%, 19 times out of 20)

Comment by Wendy Perry on April 8, 2011 at 12:03pm

I still believe Lillian Szpak has the best chance of defeating Troy Desouza.As Gus has pointed out there has been a great deal of growth in our riding,and in these new areas Lillian is the most well known.

Comment by Gus B on April 8, 2011 at 2:02am

I listened to Denis Pilon's statements on Esquimalt JDF.  My worry is that this riding hasn't gone NDP since a popular Dave Barrett won the 1988 election with 50.9% of the vote.

 

We all know how much growth there has been in the Western Communities in recent years (I had to look at a riding map at http://www.elections.ca/scripts/pss/PopUpWindows.asp?ED=59008 to get a better idea of just how much of the riding is outside of Esquimalt). It seems that the (largely NDP) voters in the Township of Esquimalt have a lot less clout (relatively speaking) than they did back in 1988.

 

My gut feel is that a Langford councillor (Szpak) would stand a better chance of being elected in Esquimalt JDF than an Esquimalt councillor (Garrison). I sure hope a reliable poll gets released before voting day, because it's not obvious to me who has the best chance of defeating the Conservative candidate.

Comment by Wendy Perry on April 8, 2011 at 12:01am

David Anderson said if the country goes Liberal ,Lillian  will win,if it goes Con it will be Troy.

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