Election watch
Fall 2010? Spring 2011? Fall 2011?
Liberals on the prowl for a campaign plane - Globe & Mail blogs
Liberals on the prowl for a campaign plane - Globe & Mail blogs
I wouldn't read too much into election timing from this since the Liberals were already shopping around for a plane since Profess-Air, their 2008 campaign plane went out of service along with Stephan Dion. Jane Taber does, however, get a range of opinions and looks at some of the factors which will determine when the next writ is dropped.
In any case, the Catch 22 strategy is to communicate with voters in the target ridings before the next election is called. The reason for that is to develop credibility while effectively getting our message across without having to compete with the political parties who will be saturating mailboxes and the airwaves once an election is called.
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'Guergisized' Tories fall back into tie with Liberals - Globe and Mail
"Helena Guergis and her husband Rahim Jaffer are doing what Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals could not – shake up the electorate and provoke a Tory slide, according to a new poll.
And now there is growing speculation of a snap election if life becomes even more difficult for Stephen Harper’s Conservatives...."
One would think that if Harper is sinking in the polls, it would not be the best time to call an election. With the G8/G20 coming to Canada in late June, there's not much time.
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Struggle between Parliament and government could reach Supreme Cour...
"The Supreme Court, however, could represent a compromise of sorts. If Milliken sides with the argument that Parliament prevails over government, the Justice Department may well draft a formal reference to the Supreme Court – in the form of a constitutional, not a political question – about which laws have precedence in the case of a dispute.
In other words, rather than going to the governor general, and almost certainly an election, the problem would head to the Supreme Court, where everyone could buy some time."
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July 24 - Jay Hill's exit spurs election speculation
“I’ve always felt that for politicians the time to go is when things are still going well … when you’ve reached the crest of the hill, but before starting down the other side. For me that time is now,” Mr. Hill said in a news release issued on Wednesday....
“I hope to be able to contribute in other ways, other than through public service."
Lobbyist?
July 14 - What's on Jim Flaherty's mind amid summer cabinet shuffle...
Be that as it may, August has occasionally served as the window of opportunity for past cabinet shuffles that rearrange the ministerial team before Parliament returns in the fall. And, it’s worth noting that Mr. Flaherty is the only Conservative MP to stay in the same cabinet post since the government was formed in early 2006.
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Ottawa Notebook: Fight club
"Michael Ignatieff and his Liberals will be in closed-door meetings Tuesday morning where they will hear from strategists that if Stephen Harper starts a fight, “we’re now in a position to finish it for them,” according to a senior Liberal official."
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More punditry.
Hébert: Bellwether by-elections ahead
"A deadlocked public opinion virtually guarantees that there will not be a general election this fall but by the time Parliament reopens, there could be as many as four vacancies to fill in the Commons – one in each of the four party caucuses."
Ibbitson: PM’s top adviser leaving after months of Tory turmoil
"These competing narratives will dominate the next election whenever it comes. It will almost certainly not be this fall, because no party stands to gain much at this stage, but may well be in the spring, because it will be very hard for the Liberals to support the next budget."
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